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Round 4

British Grand Prix

Silverstone, United Kingdom Fri 2 Oct 2026 Upcoming
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Pole timeTier 1

Rough estimate — could be very inaccurate. No tier has qualified this weekend yet, so this is based on the last time the league raced here with the current cars (Season 3, round 5). Weather, setups, track changes and a new season's drivers can easily move it by a second or more. Tier 1 qualifies first, so there's nothing from this weekend to go on.

Rough Tier 1 pole estimate 1:27.451 likely 1:26.701 – 1:28.201
From the poles at British Grand Prix in Season 3 (Tier 1 1:27.399, Tier 2 1:28.306), adjusted by each tier's usual gap. Assumes the same conditions; a wet session can't be predicted.
Prediction Title odds →

The British Grand Prix, round four of the Vitesse Racing League, promises a thrilling showdown as Brambull (Ferrari) heads into the event as the clear championship favourite with a 69% title chance, leading the standings on 60 points. Pekima (Audi) trails 11 points behind with 49 points and a 26% title chance. Brambull is also the model’s top pick for the win, with a 27% chance, followed by Pekima at 17% and Solar at 16%. With Brambull on a three-race podium streak and Pekima notching points in the last three races, the tension is palpable as the drivers vie for a coveted podium spot, with Brambull holding a 56% chance and Pekima at 44%.

Written by AI from the prediction numbers ·
Why these chances?Hide the reasons
DriverFormQualiRaceRacesDNF riskGrid
Brambull 88 91 85 3 10% —
Pekima 81 85 77 3 12% —
Solar 86 91 81 2 23% —
Silas 80 77 83 1 15% —
Nikolakis 64 69 59 2 8% —
JC 62 77 47 2 8% —

Form blends race pace with qualifying pace (lap-time gaps and grid spots), recent races counting most. Few races this season means last season and other tiers count for more. Once qualifying is in, the grid slot adds a boost, especially from the front row. Race-day luck and DNFs spread the chances out.

Fastest lapBrambull 21% · Pekima 15% · Solar 13%
Predicted gridHide predicted grid
  1. BrambullFerrari1:27.451 pole
  2. SolarRacing Bulls1:27.494 +0.043s
  3. PekimaAudi1:27.675 +0.224s
  4. JCRed Bull1:27.729 +0.278s
  5. SilasMcLaren1:27.799 +0.348s
  6. DylanMcLaren1:27.916 +0.465s
  7. NikolakisHaas1:27.997 +0.546s
  8. DiminikWilliams1:28.176 +0.725s
  9. BobbieboyAlpine1:28.211 +0.760s
  10. ThunderofwarMercedes1:28.254 +0.803s
  11. PamasitaAlpine1:28.282 +0.831s
  12. LewismckeonHaas1:28.464 +1.013s
  13. AshroWilliams1:28.690 +1.239s
  14. MsteAudi1:28.835 +1.384s
  15. AlwaysCadillac1:28.910 +1.459s
  16. BjreillyCadillac1:29.248 +1.797s
  17. DrKillianRed Bull1:29.272 +1.821s
  18. TrystanFerrari1:29.461 +2.010s
  19. Ms909Racing Bulls1:29.586 +2.135s
  20. CalebAston Martin1:29.749 +2.298s
  21. ShrekAston Martin1:29.842 +2.391s

The order they qualify in on average across the simulations, with each driver's expected lap (from the rough pole estimate, so treat the times as rough too), based on their usual qualifying pace. Replaced by the real grid once qualifying is in.

From thousands of simulated races using this season's form. Saved before the race and checked once the results are in.

Predict the podium Leaderboard →

Pick the Tier 1 podium and pole for the British Grand Prix and see how you do against everyone else — and the model.

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