Results appear here once they're entered.
Results appear here once they're entered.
Rough estimate — could be very inaccurate. No tier has qualified this weekend yet, so this is based on the last time the league raced here with the current cars (Season 3, round 5). Weather, setups, track changes and a new season's drivers can easily move it by a second or more. This firms up once Tier 1 and Tier 3 have qualified this weekend.
The British Grand Prix heads to Tier 2, with Heartshapedtox leading the championship on 51 points, just 8 ahead of Stef. The title battle is heating up, with Stef holding a slight edge in title chances at 37%, while Heartshapedtox trails closely at 36%. For the upcoming race, Stef and Heartshapedtox are the favourites, with Stef slightly ahead at 21%, and Heartshapedtox close behind at 20%. Freddie, often overlooked, has a notable 22% chance of securing a podium finish, making him a dark horse to watch.
Written by AI from the prediction numbers ·Show all 19 driversShow fewer
WxrriorAlpine 5% 20% <1% JkerMcLaren · races 45% 5% 15% 4% JakeAston Martin · races 78% 3% 11% 2% NanoMercedes · races 62% 2% 9% 1% RhysHaas · races 95% 2% 7% 1% HazzkWilliams · races 45% 1% 6% <1% MidgetMcLaren · races 95% 1% 7% <1% OdhranMercedes 1% 7% 6% IcehAudi 1% 5% <1% BeanCadillac · races 95% 1% 4% 1% MattHaas · races 78% 1% 3% 1% TrymedAston Martin <1% 3% <1% MV3 LoverRed Bull · races 62% <1% 2% <1%Why these chances?Hide the reasons
| Driver | Form | Quali | Race | Races | DNF risk | Grid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stef | 82 | 77 | 87 | 3 | 21% | — |
| Heartshapedtox | 82 | 86 | 79 | 3 | 28% | — |
| Pofi | 69 | 72 | 66 | 3 | 11% | — |
| Muffin | 68 | 85 | 51 | 2 | 8% | — |
| Findlay | 67 | 74 | 60 | 2 | 8% | — |
| Freddie | 69 | 69 | 69 | 2 | 27% | — |
Form blends race pace with qualifying pace (lap-time gaps and grid spots), recent races counting most. Few races this season means last season and other tiers count for more. Once qualifying is in, the grid slot adds a boost, especially from the front row. Race-day luck and DNFs spread the chances out.
Predicted gridHide predicted grid
- HeartshapedtoxCadillac1:28.254 pole
- MuffinRed Bull1:28.297 +0.043s
- StefRacing Bulls1:28.547 +0.293s
- FindlayFerrari1:28.574 +0.321s
- PofiRacing Bulls1:28.650 +0.397s
- JkerMcLaren1:28.652 +0.398s
- OdhranMercedes1:28.726 +0.472s
- FreddieAudi1:28.859 +0.605s
- JakeAston Martin1:29.042 +0.788s
- BeanCadillac1:29.050 +0.796s
- NanoMercedes1:29.113 +0.859s
- MattHaas1:29.240 +0.986s
- RhysHaas1:29.306 +1.053s
- IcehAudi1:29.357 +1.104s
- WxrriorAlpine1:29.367 +1.114s
- HazzkWilliams1:29.402 +1.149s
- MidgetMcLaren1:29.505 +1.251s
- TrymedAston Martin1:29.614 +1.360s
- MV3 LoverRed Bull1:29.733 +1.480s
The order they qualify in on average across the simulations, with each driver's expected lap (from the rough pole estimate, so treat the times as rough too), based on their usual qualifying pace. Replaced by the real grid once qualifying is in.
From thousands of simulated races using this season's form. Saved before the race and checked once the results are in.
Pick the Tier 2 podium and pole for the British Grand Prix and see how you do against everyone else — and the model.
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