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Round 4

British Grand Prix

Silverstone, United Kingdom Fri 2 Oct 2026 Upcoming
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Results appear here once they're entered.

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Pole timeTier 2

Rough estimate — could be very inaccurate. No tier has qualified this weekend yet, so this is based on the last time the league raced here with the current cars (Season 3, round 5). Weather, setups, track changes and a new season's drivers can easily move it by a second or more. This firms up once Tier 1 and Tier 3 have qualified this weekend.

Rough Tier 2 pole estimate 1:28.254 likely 1:27.504 – 1:29.004
From the poles at British Grand Prix in Season 3 (Tier 1 1:27.399, Tier 2 1:28.306), adjusted by each tier's usual gap. Assumes the same conditions; a wet session can't be predicted.
Prediction Title odds →

The British Grand Prix heads to Tier 2, with Heartshapedtox leading the championship on 51 points, just 8 ahead of Stef. The title battle is heating up, with Stef holding a slight edge in title chances at 37%, while Heartshapedtox trails closely at 36%. For the upcoming race, Stef and Heartshapedtox are the favourites, with Stef slightly ahead at 21%, and Heartshapedtox close behind at 20%. Freddie, often overlooked, has a notable 22% chance of securing a podium finish, making him a dark horse to watch.

Written by AI from the prediction numbers ·
Why these chances?Hide the reasons
DriverFormQualiRaceRacesDNF riskGrid
Stef 82 77 87 3 21% —
Heartshapedtox 82 86 79 3 28% —
Pofi 69 72 66 3 11% —
Muffin 68 85 51 2 8% —
Findlay 67 74 60 2 8% —
Freddie 69 69 69 2 27% —

Form blends race pace with qualifying pace (lap-time gaps and grid spots), recent races counting most. Few races this season means last season and other tiers count for more. Once qualifying is in, the grid slot adds a boost, especially from the front row. Race-day luck and DNFs spread the chances out.

Fastest lapStef 17% · Heartshapedtox 16% · Pofi 10%
Predicted gridHide predicted grid
  1. HeartshapedtoxCadillac1:28.254 pole
  2. MuffinRed Bull1:28.297 +0.043s
  3. StefRacing Bulls1:28.547 +0.293s
  4. FindlayFerrari1:28.574 +0.321s
  5. PofiRacing Bulls1:28.650 +0.397s
  6. JkerMcLaren1:28.652 +0.398s
  7. OdhranMercedes1:28.726 +0.472s
  8. FreddieAudi1:28.859 +0.605s
  9. JakeAston Martin1:29.042 +0.788s
  10. BeanCadillac1:29.050 +0.796s
  11. NanoMercedes1:29.113 +0.859s
  12. MattHaas1:29.240 +0.986s
  13. RhysHaas1:29.306 +1.053s
  14. IcehAudi1:29.357 +1.104s
  15. WxrriorAlpine1:29.367 +1.114s
  16. HazzkWilliams1:29.402 +1.149s
  17. MidgetMcLaren1:29.505 +1.251s
  18. TrymedAston Martin1:29.614 +1.360s
  19. MV3 LoverRed Bull1:29.733 +1.480s

The order they qualify in on average across the simulations, with each driver's expected lap (from the rough pole estimate, so treat the times as rough too), based on their usual qualifying pace. Replaced by the real grid once qualifying is in.

From thousands of simulated races using this season's form. Saved before the race and checked once the results are in.

Predict the podium Leaderboard →

Pick the Tier 2 podium and pole for the British Grand Prix and see how you do against everyone else — and the model.

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