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Rough estimate — could be very inaccurate. No tier has qualified this weekend yet, so this is based on the last time the league raced here with the current cars (Season 3, round 5). Weather, setups, track changes and a new season's drivers can easily move it by a second or more. Tier 3 qualifies first, so there's nothing from this weekend to go on.
The British Grand Prix, the fourth round of the VRL season, is set to be a thrilling battle as unLuckyNoob44 (Haas) aims to extend his lead over Rayaan (McLaren). With unLuckyNoob44 holding a 16-point advantage and a 56% chance of taking the title, Rayaan will be looking to close the gap. The model predicts a closely contested race, with unLuckyNoob44 and Rayaan both having a 26% and 25% chance of winning respectively, and strong podium prospects for both at 57%. Dwgelly (Audi) and the dark horse, Formula KRTS (Aston Martin), also pose threats, with podium chances of 44% and 12% respectively.
Written by AI from the prediction numbers ·Show all 21 driversShow fewer
IanMercedes · races 78% 2% 10% 4% RomijnAston Martin · races 95% 2% 10% 2% KyWilliams 2% 10% <1% HazzaAudi 2% 9% <1% MisternoaAlpine · races 62% 1% 7% 5% Nibble25Red Bull · races 45% 1% 6% <1% MV3Alpine · races 45% 1% 6% <1% OscarMercedes 1% 6% <1% RiktaCadillac · races 95% 1% 4% <1% PezFerrari · races 62% <1% 2% <1% KaidenCadillac · races 62% <1% 2% <1% WalkerRed Bull · races 78% <1% 1% 0% JackLN1Racing Bulls · races 78% <1% 1% <1% DylxnMcLaren <1% 1% <1% SnoopyFerrari · races 95% <1% 1% <1%Why these chances?Hide the reasons
| Driver | Form | Quali | Race | Races | DNF risk | Grid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| unLuckyNoob44 | 80 | 82 | 78 | 3 | 6% | — |
| Rayaan | 80 | 82 | 77 | 3 | 5% | — |
| Dwgelly | 78 | 73 | 83 | 3 | 21% | — |
| Lewis | 62 | 72 | 52 | 3 | 7% | — |
| Fletcher | 59 | 55 | 63 | 3 | 28% | — |
| Formula KRTS | 61 | 72 | 50 | 1 | 30% | — |
Form blends race pace with qualifying pace (lap-time gaps and grid spots), recent races counting most. Few races this season means last season and other tiers count for more. Once qualifying is in, the grid slot adds a boost, especially from the front row. Race-day luck and DNFs spread the chances out.
Predicted gridHide predicted grid
- unLuckyNoob44Haas1:29.148 pole
- RayaanMcLaren1:29.413 +0.265s
- DwgellyAudi1:29.659 +0.511s
- LewisHaas1:29.721 +0.573s
- Formula KRTSAston Martin1:29.824 +0.676s
- MisternoaAlpine1:29.863 +0.715s
- IanMercedes1:29.929 +0.781s
- RomijnAston Martin1:29.936 +0.788s
- FletcherRacing Bulls1:29.983 +0.835s
- MV3Alpine1:30.267 +1.119s
- Nibble25Red Bull1:30.382 +1.234s
- KyWilliams1:30.492 +1.344s
- HazzaAudi1:30.629 +1.481s
- OscarMercedes1:30.699 +1.551s
- PezFerrari1:30.992 +1.844s
- RiktaCadillac1:31.176 +2.028s
- DylxnMcLaren1:31.629 +2.481s
- JackLN1Racing Bulls1:31.743 +2.595s
- KaidenCadillac1:31.865 +2.717s
- SnoopyFerrari1:32.123 +2.976s
- WalkerRed Bullavg P18.7
The order they qualify in on average across the simulations, with each driver's expected lap (from the rough pole estimate, so treat the times as rough too), based on their usual qualifying pace. Replaced by the real grid once qualifying is in.
From thousands of simulated races using this season's form. Saved before the race and checked once the results are in.
Pick the Tier 3 podium and pole for the British Grand Prix and see how you do against everyone else — and the model.
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