Spanish Grand Prix

Pole timeTier 3

Predicted pole time 1:12.415 Actual 1:13.679 · off by 1.264s

From the world record at Barcelona (1:10.580) and how far off it Tier 3's poles usually are (+2.6%). The league hasn't raced here with these cars, so it can't know if this track suits the league more or less than usual. On past first visits to a track it was typically within 0.81s (within half a second 1 of 3 times). Assumes the same conditions; a wet session can't be predicted.

Prediction Title odds →

The Spanish Grand Prix, round 6 of 12 in the VRL Tier 3, sees Rayaan on pole position ahead of Formula KRTS and Elliottm23. Rayaan, leading the championship with 75 points, has a strong chance to extend his lead, with a 60% shot at victory and an 86% chance of a podium finish. unLuckyNoob44, trailing by 7 points, has a 13% chance of winning and a 49% chance of securing a podium spot. The model predicts Rayaan's title chances at 71%, with unLuckyNoob44 holding on to 27%.

TosesMoses, despite not being a top favourite, emerges as a dark horse with a 17% chance of a podium finish, adding an element of unpredictability to the race.

Written by AI from the prediction numbers · 2026-10-17 12:20

DriverWinPodiumPole Points DNF Usual

RayaanMcLaren 60% 86% 100% 95% 5% P1–2 unLuckyNoob44Haas 13% 49% 0% 93% 5% P2–6 Formula KRTSAston Martin 8% 32% 0% 69% 30% P2–6 LewisRed Bull 6% 31% 0% 90% 6% P3–8 Elliottm23Audi 4% 23% 0% 83% 12% P3–9 TosesMosesRed Bull 3% 17% 0% 66% 30% P4–9

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PoseidonMercedes 2% 14% 0% 79% 12% P4–10 VihesFerrari 1% 11% 0% 78% 10% P5–11 FletcherRacing Bulls 1% 7% 0% 61% 26% P6–12 Hagl3yAudi 1% 7% 0% 71% 12% P6–12 RomijnAston Martin 1% 5% 0% 61% 20% P6–12 Jack123McLaren 1% 5% 0% 66% 12% P7–13 RiktaCadillac <1% 3% 0% 45% 35% P7–13 KyWilliams <1% 3% 0% 49% 26% P8–13 MarshyboyWilliams <1% 2% 0% 41% 30% P9–14 OscarMercedes <1% 2% 0% 45% 23% P9–14 MV3Alpine <1% 1% 0% 36% 29% P10–15 SnoopyFerrari <1% 1% 0% 22% 50% P10–15 WalkerHaas <1% <1% 0% 21% 49% P11–15 DylxnRacing Bulls <1% <1% 0% 28% 28% P11–15

Why these chances?Hide the reasons

Driver	Form	Quali	Race	Races	DNF risk	Grid
Rayaan	82	84	80	4	5%	P1
unLuckyNoob44	75	82	71	4	5%	P8
Formula KRTS	57	70	50	1	30%	P2
Lewis	62	77	54	4	6%	P6
Elliottm23	50	50	50	0	12%	P3
TosesMoses	54	61	50	0	30%	P4

Form blends race pace with qualifying pace (lap-time gaps and grid spots), recent races counting most. Few races this season means last season and other tiers count for more. Once qualifying is in, the grid slot adds a boost, especially from the front row. Race-day luck and DNFs spread the chances out.

Fastest lapRayaan 25% · unLuckyNoob44 18% · Lewis 9%

From thousands of simulated races using this season's form. Saved before the race and checked once the results are in.

Race results Tier 3

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StewardsAll decisions →

Penalties & bans for this race

AskiboyQualifying ban
RiktaQualifying ban
MV3Qualifying ban
Formula KRTSRace ban
Master_footballQualifying ban
MarshyboyQualifying ban

Qualifying Image Tier 3

Pos	Driver	Team	Lap time
1	Rayaan	McLaren	1:13.679
2	Formula KRTS	Aston Martin	1:13.781
3	Elliottm23	Audi	1:13.942
4	TosesMoses	Red Bull	1:14.295
5	Poseidon	Mercedes	1:14.315
6	Lewis	Red Bull	1:14.327
7	Vihes	Ferrari	1:14.520
8	unLuckyNoob44	Haas	1:14.649
9	Romijn	Aston Martin	1:14.748
10	Rikta	Cadillac	1:14.911
11	Snoopy	Ferrari	1:15.303
12	Hagl3y	Audi	1:15.338
13	Dylxn	Racing Bulls	1:15.394
14	Ky	Williams	1:15.396
15	Jack123	McLaren	1:15.467
16	Oscar	Mercedes	1:15.567
17	Marshyboy	Williams	1:15.738
18	Walker	Haas	1:16.990
No time	MV3	Alpine	—
DSQ	Fletcher	Racing Bulls	—